The 2nd column in the table below shows the
single-board probability that all 24 cells (plus the center
cell) will be filled when the "Qth" number is called. The 3rd
column shows the single-board cumulative probability that all
24 cells (plus the center cell) will be filled on or before
the "Qth" number is called.
If there are 1,000 boards in play, the 4th column
in the table below shows the probability that all 24 cells
(plus the center cell) will be covered by at least one board
when the "Qth" number is called. If there are 1,000 boards in
play, the 5th column shows the cumulative probability that at
least one board will have a complete cover on or before the
time the "Qth" number is called.
For example, when the 64th number is called in a Bingo game,
we get the following probabilities:
1) A single board has a 0.00364617 probability of completely
covering the board when the 64th number is called.
2) A single board has a 0.00972311 probability of completely
covering the board on or before the 64th number.
3) If 1,000 boards are in play, there is a 0.0021959
probability that at least one board will get a complete cover
when the 64th number is called.
4) If 1,000 boards are in play, there is a 0.99994 probability
that that at least one board will have a complete cover on or
before the time the 64th number is called.
(Note, if 1,000 boards are in play, the game will probably end
before the 64th number is called.)
To calculate the probability that at least 1 board will be
completely covered on or before the "Qth" number is called
when "N" boards are in play, go down to the "Qth" row and
insert the value for "Cumulative Prob. Complete Cover This
Turn 1 Board in the equation:
Prob. of a complete cover with N boards in play = 1.0 - (1.0 -
Cum. Prob. 1 board)
N
For example, the probability that at least 1 complete cover
will occur on at least 1 board on or before the 60th call when
1000 boards are in play
= 1.0 - (1.0 -
0.00139853)
1000
= 0.753283
Computer program and data by Bill
Butler
Quantity
Prob.
of a Cumulative Prob.
Prob. of a Cumulative Prob.
of Bingo Complete Cover Complete
Cover Complete Cover
Complete Cover
Numbers This
Turn This
Turn This
Turn This Turn
Picked 1
Board
1 Board
1000 Boards 1000
Boards
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
24
3.87917e-20
3.87917e-20
3.87917e-17
3.87917e-17
25
9.31001e-19
9.69793e-19
9.31001e-16
9.69793e-16
26
1.16375e-17
1.26073e-17
1.16375e-14
1.26073e-14
27
1.00858e-16
1.13466e-16
1.00858e-13
1.13466e-13
28
6.80795e-16
7.9426e-16
6.80795e-13
7.9426e-13
29
3.81245e-15
4.60671e-15
3.81245e-12
4.60671e-12
30
1.84268e-14
2.30336e-14
1.84268e-11
2.30336e-11
31
7.89722e-14
1.02006e-13
7.89722e-11
1.02006e-10
32
3.06017e-13
4.08023e-13
3.06017e-10
4.08023e-10
33
1.08806e-12
1.49608e-12
1.08806e-09
1.49608e-09
34
3.5906e-12
5.08669e-12
3.5906e-09
5.08669e-09
35
1.10982e-11
1.61849e-11
1.10982e-08
1.61849e-08
36
3.23698e-11
4.85547e-11
3.23698e-08
4.85547e-08
37
8.96395e-11
1.38194e-10
8.96395e-08
1.38194e-07
38
2.36904e-10
3.75099e-10
2.36904e-07
3.75099e-07
39
6.00158e-10
9.75256e-10
6.00157e-07
9.75256e-07
40
1.46288e-09
2.43814e-09
1.46288e-06
2.43814e-06
41
3.44208e-09
5.88022e-09
3.44207e-06
5.8802e-06
42
7.8403e-09
1.37205e-08
7.84022e-06
1.37204e-05
43
1.73312e-08
3.10517e-08
1.73308e-05
3.10512e-05
44
3.7262e-08
6.83137e-08
3.72602e-05
6.83114e-05
45
7.80728e-08
1.46387e-07
7.80645e-05
0.000146376
46
1.59694e-07
3.06081e-07
0.000159658
0.000306034
47
3.19389e-07
6.2547e-07
0.00031924
0.000625275
48
6.2547e-07
1.25094e-06
0.000624884
0.00125016
49
1.2009e-06
2.45184e-06
0.00119868
0.00244884
50
2.26324e-06
4.71508e-06
0.00225515
0.00470399
51
4.19118e-06
8.90626e-06
0.00416277
0.00886676
52
7.63394e-06
1.65402e-05
0.00753754
0.0164043
53
1.36884e-05
3.02287e-05
0.0133725
0.0297768
54
2.41829e-05
5.44116e-05
0.0231824
0.0529592
55
4.21251e-05
9.65367e-05
0.0390685
0.0920276
56
7.24025e-05
0.000168939
0.0634241
0.155452
57
0.000122865
0.000291804
0.0976651
0.253117
58
0.000205979
0.000497783
0.139082
0.392199
59
0.000341337
0.00083912
0.175863
0.568062
60
0.000559414
0.00139853
0.185221
0.753283
61
0.000907157
0.00230569
0.147292
0.900575
62
0.00145623
0.00376192
0.07635
0.976925
63
0.00231503
0.00607694
0.0208219
0.997747
64
0.00364617
0.00972311
0.00219592
0.999943
65
0.00569158
0.0154147
5.69219e-05
1
66
0.00880839
0.0242231
1.79184e-07
1
67
0.0135199
0.0377429
2.24152e-11
1
68
0.0205871
0.05833
0
1
69
0.0311093
0.0894393
0
1
70
0.046664
0.136103
0
1
71
0.0694996
0.205603
0
1
72
0.102801
0.308404
0
1
73
0.151055
0.459459
0
1
74
0.220541
0.68
0
1
75
0.32
1
0
1
Note: Numerical calculations
involving large powers (e.g. 1,000) will tend to magnify
precision errors. Efforts have been made to reduce precision
errors, but results are not guaranteed.
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